AI-powered sales and demand forecasting
Order too much and your cash freezes in inventory. Order too little and you lose sales and customers. AI models forecast demand per item, accounting for seasonality, trends, promotions — even the weather.
Sound familiar?
- Purchasing is planned by gut feeling or by last month's numbers
- The warehouse is full of slow movers while bestsellers run out mid-season
- Staffing plans don't match the actual workload
- Spreadsheet forecasts are stale before anyone finishes reading them
How AI solves it
- 01
An AI model trains on your sales history and accounts for seasonality, trends, promotions and external factors.
- 02
Forecasts are built per SKU and per location — not as one blended average.
- 03
The system proposes purchase volumes and flags shortage and overstock risks.
- 04
Forecasts refresh automatically as new data arrives.
Concrete scenarios
Season purchasing
A 1–3 month forecast per item, seasonality and promotions included.
Staff planning
Load forecasts by day and hour — shifts planned around the expected flow.
Shortage risk
The system flags items that will run out before the next delivery — in advance.
Promotion evaluation
What a discount will do: demand forecast in "with promo" and "without" scenarios.
How the system works
- 1
History collection
sales, stock, promotions, seasonality
- 2
Model training
on your data, per item
- 3
Forecast
volumes per SKU and location
- 4
Recommendations
purchasing, shortage and overstock risks
- 5
Refresh
the model retrains as new data arrives
Input and output
What we need from you
- A year or more of sales history (ERP, CRM, POS — exports are fine)
- The promotion calendar and product catalog
What you get
- A forecast per item and location
- Purchase volume recommendations
- Shortage and overstock risk alerts
What we integrate with
- ERP
- accounting systems
- Excel / Google Sheets
- POS systems
- Power BI
- APIs
Results
- 85–95% forecast accuracy depending on the niche
- 20–30% less overstock
- Fewer missed sales due to out-of-stock items
- Purchase planning takes hours, not weeks
Case study
A retail chain: purchasing was planned "by last month", shelves went empty at seasonal peaks, and after the season the warehouse sat overstocked.
We trained a model on three years of sales history with seasonality and promotions; the system issues weekly purchasing recommendations and flags risks per item.
- About 90% forecast accuracy on top sellers
- Warehouse overstock down by a quarter
- Purchase planning takes hours instead of two days
Pricing and timelines
We don't publish a price list: the range of tasks is too wide for one honest number. Instead — a transparent model:
- 01
Consultation — free
30 minutes: we walk through the process, estimate the economics and scope the first phase.
- 02
Estimate and plan
Scope, timeline and cost fixed before the start — no hidden items.
- 03
Prepayment to start
A fixed advance covers tooling and environment setup. Infrastructure costs (server, APIs) are billed separately when your solution needs them.
- 04
Final payment on delivery
The closing payment comes after the agreed scope is delivered.
Guaranteed: the first working phase ships 2 weeks after the start. The rest follows a plan fixed in advance.
Cloud or your perimeter
Cloud deployment
Fast start: models via cloud APIs, the system on our or your VPS. Fits when perimeter requirements are standard.
On-premise deployment
Models and data fully inside your perimeter — on your hardware or a dedicated server. For healthcare, finance and anyone whose data can't leave.
Hybrid
Sensitive data is processed locally, the rest in the cloud. A balance of cost and requirements.
Risks and limitations
- Forecasts need history: with less than a year of data accuracy is lower — we show it honestly in a backtest before rollout.
- Rare and brand-new items forecast worse — separate rules apply to them.
- A forecast is a tool, not an oracle: sharp external shocks (a new competitor, supply disruptions) won't be predicted.
Common questions about this task
Our data lives in Excel — will that work?
Yes. Exports are enough to start; automated data collection is set up as the project goes.
How will you prove the forecast works?
A backtest: we train the model on older data and validate it against a period whose outcome is already known — accuracy is visible before launch.
Does the forecast refresh itself?
Yes, on a schedule: the model retrains and recalculates recommendations without human involvement.
Want the same result?
Send a request — in 30 minutes we'll analyze your process and tell you how much time and money automation will save.
Free consultation